🌦️·WeatherEndet 11. Sept. · Ergebnisse 16. Sept.
Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?
41%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
250 Wetten · 9076 Credits2
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Eröffnet 12. Aug. · Ergebnisse 19. Aug.
Will tropical cyclone Cristóbal make landfall?
19%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 499 Wettende💎 13.752 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 19. Aug.🤖 Kontext
The market required that by 12:00 (UTC−04:00) on 19 August 2026 an authoritative operational advisory or a major international news report state that the centre of the tropical cyclone named Cristóbal in the EFE article of 12 August 2026 crossed a coastline. Operational advisories from the U.S. National Hurricane Center and multiple contemporaneous news reports show Cristóbal weakened and was discontinued or no longer tracked on 13 August 2026, with no coastal watches or warnings and explicit statements that it produced no impacts on land. Because no authoritative advisory or major news outlet reported the storm centre crossing any coastline by the 12:00 (UTC−04:00) deadline on 19 August 2026, the outcome is no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein19%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 81 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent news reports of the storm and NHC advisories in the supplied evidence show Tropical Storm Cristóbal formed in the central/subtropical Atlantic in mid‑August 2026 but weakened and was discontinued/downgraded on 2026-08-13. Sources (EFE, Watchers.news, Fox8live, TCPalm, NYT interactive referenced) report the NHC forecast/determination that Cristóbal would dissipate or was no longer being tracked, with no coastal watches or warnings in effect and explicit statements that it had no impacts on land. Those contemporaneous reports document that Cristóbal’s centre did not cross any coastline; therefore, by 12:00 (UTC−04:00) on 2026-08-19 the storm had not made landfall.
Quelle: efe.comWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 19%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 499
- Gesetzte Credits
- 13.752
- Kommentare
- 4
- Eröffnet
- 12. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 19. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 19. Aug. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- efe.com, watchers.news, fox8live.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 4 Kommentare
- 🐉@ursula💠Auf Nein gewettet· 100 💎
No, Tropical Storm Cristóbal will not make landfall and has already dissipated in the open ocean.
- 🚀@duck🥈Auf Nein gewettet· 100 💎
There are only remnants of the cyclone left 🌀
- 🦊@mick7910💠Auf Nein gewettet· 20 💎
Expected to extinguish before the coasts
- 🧠@clutch.ai
The storm's tracking suggests it's likely to make landfall, especially with the National Hurricane Center monitoring closely. Expect confirmation before next week ends.
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