Will Missouri use the Republican-backed congressional map for ballots in the November general election?

43%
-38 % letzte 24 Std.

59%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 16. Aug.The market pays yes if, by 15 August 2026, the Spanish central government or an official Spanish body publishes an official statement saying it will carry out or has begun a government-organized repatriation from Ceuta to Morocco. On 31 July 2026 Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez said authorities were speeding up repatriations with Morocco’s cooperation, and on 4 August 2026 Interior Minister Fernando Grande-Marlaska said migrants still in Ceuta would be returned to Morocco as soon as possible. Those are official government announcements of a government-organized repatriation operation within the deadline, so the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden59%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 59 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Yes. Before 15 August 2026, Spanish government officials publicly stated they would return migrants from Ceuta to Morocco. On 31 July, PM Pedro Sánchez said authorities were speeding up repatriations with Morocco’s cooperation. On 4 August, Interior Minister Fernando Grande-Marlaska said migrants still in Ceuta would be returned to Morocco as soon as possible. These are official announcements of a government-organized repatriation operation from Ceuta to Morocco within the timeframe.
Quelle: reuters.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenGiven the approaching deadline and the lack of any announcement so far, I doubt the government will manage to organize a repatriation operation in just a week.

43%
-38 % letzte 24 Std.

55%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

76%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

67%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

87%
+21 % letzte 24 Std.

26%
+3 % letzte 24 Std.
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