Will an earthquake of magnitude 5.4 or greater occur in Indonesia?

28%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

90%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 21. Aug.The market required that by 20 August 2026 the Préfecture d'Ille‑et‑Vilaine, SDIS 35, or one of AFP, Reuters, Ouest‑France, Le Télégramme, or Franceinfo explicitly state the Saint‑Just wildfire was contained or extinguished and no longer actively spreading. Ouest‑France reported on 14 August 2026 at about 6 p.m. that firefighters announced “le feu est fixé”, and follow‑up reporting citing a prefecture announcement said the fire had been fixed since the previous afternoon and the next morning was described as controlled with no active hotspots. Because Ouest‑France is one of the accepted sources and it explicitly reported containment on 14 August 2026, the condition is met, so the market resolves to yes.
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Warum: - Premise (Ouest-France live blog): "Ce vendredi 14 août vers 18 h, les sapeurs-pompiers ont annoncé que ‘le feu est fixé’" (the fire is contained). Source: Ouest‑France live page. - Inference: The question explicitly accepts “fixé” (contained) or “maîtrisé” (controlled) as resolving states indicating the fire is no longer actively spreading. - Corroboration (Feux de Forêt live page): Saturday update states “Le feu est fixé depuis hier après-midi,” and Sunday morning states “Feu maîtrisé … Aucun foyer actif n’est signalé,” referencing a Prefecture announcement — confirming the spread was halted since Friday and remained under control. - Conclusion: The wildfire near Saint‑Just was declared contained on 2026‑08‑14 (and later reported as maîtrisé), which is on or before 20 August 2026. Therefore, YES.
Quelle: ouest-france.frQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
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