Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 22. Aug.Resolves YES if, between August 14, 2026 and August 21, 2026 inclusive, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), or at least two independent mainstream news organizations (for example AP, Reuters, BBC) publicly report that U.S. military forces conducted airstrikes, missile strikes, or other kinetic strikes explicitly targeting Houthi (Ansar Allah) military positions, vessels, weapons systems, or leaders in Yemen. Strikes described publicly only as 'self‑defense' count as YES only if at least two independent outlets explicitly identify the targets as Houthi forces or an official U.S. source does so. Otherwise NO.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden26%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 74 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
I hope not
I'm betting on yes here. With the US having ramped up military presence in the region, it's likely we'll see targeted strikes against the Houthis reported by major outlets soon.

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68%
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