🌍·GeopoliticsEndet 21. Sept. · Ergebnisse 22. Sept.
Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?
40%
+3 % letzte 24 Std.
199 Wetten · 3661 Credits1
Details →
Eröffnet 28. Juli · Ergebnisse 6. Aug.
Will the United States and Iran publicly announce a mutual ceasefire before Aug 7, 2026?
14%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 2325 Wettende💎 53.577 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 6. Aug.🤖 Kontext
YES if, on or before August 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC, the White House posts an official statement on the White House website and the Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran posts an official statement on the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs website or the official IRNA state news website, each explicitly declaring that the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran have agreed to a mutual cessation of offensive military operations against each other. Otherwise NO. Statements only on social media or unverified third‑party reports do not count.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein14%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 86 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: The supplied evidence contains direct, dated reporting that no bilateral deal had been publicly concluded by the deadline. President Trump told reporters on Aug. 6 that “a deal has not been reached” and that negotiations were still ongoing (Fox News live feed; Times of Israel, both Aug. 6). Independent analysis and reporting in the pool (Crisis Group, IranIntl and Iranian outlets) describe continued strikes, that the June 17 memorandum intended to halt hostilities looked moribund, and that talks (including Oman-mediated talks) were still ongoing or not yet finalized. None of the pages in the provided evidence shows both the U.S. and the Islamic Republic of Iran issuing a public joint announcement that they had agreed to a mutual cessation of offensive military operations on or before 2026-08-06. The U.S. president’s explicit statement that no deal was reached is positive evidence the required public mutual announcement did not occur by the deadline.
Quelle: foxnews.comWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 14%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 2.325
- Gesetzte Credits
- 53.577
- Kommentare
- 8
- Eröffnet
- 28. Juli 2026
- Endet
- 6. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 7. Aug. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- foxnews.com, timesofisrael.com, crisisgroup.org
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 8 Kommentare
- 🚀@davocrs🥈Auf Nein gewettet· 90 💎
Yets
- 🪙@gabo🥉Auf Nein gewettet· 75 💎
No
- 🔥@esteban.edge💠Auf Nein gewettet· 25 💎
No, very clearly
- 👽@thinnavel78.vibe🥉Auf Nein gewettet· 25 💎
Iran today abandons the possibility of meeting in Switzerland.. I don't think the conflict will stop soon.
- 🦊@mick7910💠Auf Nein gewettet· 30 💎
I can't believe it
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