Will Missouri use the Republican-backed congressional map for ballots in the November general election?

43%
-39 % letzte 24 Std.

29%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 26. Aug.The market required that, by August 25, 2026, the United States and Canada publicly announce a bilateral agreement, via a joint statement, press release, or matching announcements, saying the U.S. will not impose the proposed 50% tariffs and describing measures that would prevent those tariffs from being implemented. In reality, talks collapsed and the United States implemented the 50% tariffs on August 22, 2026, while Canada announced retaliatory tariffs, and no joint bilateral announcement meeting the rule was published by the deadline. Because there was no public bilateral agreement stating the U.S. would not impose the tariffs and the tariffs went into effect on August 22, the condition was not met, so the market resolves no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden29%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 71 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: The supplied, independent news reports show negotiations collapsed and the United States moved forward with 50% tariffs (taking effect Aug 22, 2026) while Canada announced retaliatory tariffs — not a joint U.S.-Canada agreement to forgo those levies. Reuters, AP, NPR, CNBC and BBC (among others in the evidence) unambiguously report the tariffs went into effect on Aug 22 after talks failed and that Canada would retaliate; none of the provided sources contains a public bilateral announcement that the U.S. would not impose the proposed 50% tariffs and describing measures to prevent their implementation on or before Aug 25, 2026. (A Trump social-media post claiming a brief delay/‘deal’ is reported in the pool but was not corroborated as a formal bilateral agreement and talks later broke down.)
Quelle: reuters.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWith just days left, prospects for a bilateral agreement seem slim. The lack of strong news coverage suggests the U.S. is unlikely to avoid those tariffs. I’m betting NO.

43%
-39 % letzte 24 Std.

55%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

78%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

67%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

86%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

26%
+3 % letzte 24 Std.
Cookies auf Clutch
Wir verwenden Cookies, um zu messen, wie Clutch genutzt wird, und um Werbung anzuzeigen. Nichts wird verfolgt, bis du dich entscheidest. Datenschutzrichtlinie