Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 2. Sept.The market resolves yes if, on or before 00:00 Central Daylight Time on September 2, 2026, an operational advisory or official public statement from the U.S. National Hurricane Center, Mexico’s CONAGUA‑SMN, a U.S. state emergency management authority, or multiple mainstream outlets citing those authorities reports that the surface center of the cyclone named Edouard crossed the coastline onto land in one of the 48 contiguous United States. The National Hurricane Center reported Edouard made landfall in southwestern Cameron Parish, Louisiana at 19:20 UTC (about 2:20 p.m. CDT) on September 1, 2026, and CNN, NBC and other contemporaneous outlets located landfall near Johnson Bayou at roughly 2:00–2:30 p.m. CDT that day. Because those authoritative, independent reports place the storm’s surface center onshore well before 00:00 CDT on September 2, 2026, the market resolves yes.
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Warum: Multiple independent, credible sources in the provided evidence report that Edouard’s surface center moved ashore on the U.S. Gulf Coast on 2026-09-01. The National Hurricane Center discussion (MIATCDAT5/011446.shtml) explicitly states Edouard made landfall in southwestern Cameron Parish, Louisiana, at 1920 UTC (≈14:20 CDT) on Sept 1. CNN and NBC report landfall near Johnson Bayou, Louisiana at roughly 2:00–2:30 p.m. CT on Sept 1. Mexican SMN and Houston Public Media show the system inland and weakening later that evening. These contemporaneous, independent reports place the storm’s center over the contiguous United States well before the 00:00 CDT on 2026-09-02 deadline.
Quelle: nhc.noaa.govQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
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