Eröffnet 16. Aug. · Ergebnisse 1. Sept.

Will the Spanish Senate adopt a motion of reproach against Interior Minister Fernando Grande‑Marlaska?

28%

Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

📊 46 Wettende💎 1080 im Einsatz

AufgelöstNein

Aufgelöst: Nein

Ergebnisse 1. Sept.

🤖 Kontext

The market required that by August 31, 2026 the Spanish Senate hold a plenary vote and adopt a formal motion of reproach specifically directed at Interior Minister Fernando Grande‑Marlaska for refusing to attend the summons. In practice, ElConstitucional and laSexta reported that the PP planned those reprobation motions but that any plenary vote was scheduled for the first September plenary, predictably Wednesday, September 9, and the official Senate site records only an August 20 commission where Marlaska was absent and no plenary vote or adoption by August 31. Because there is no credible report or official record showing the Senate had held and adopted such a motion by August 31, 2026, the condition was not met, so the market resolves no.

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28%

Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community

Die Community war zu 72 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.

Warum: The supplied evidence shows that the PP planned to register reprobation motions and that any plenary votes were scheduled for the first plenary of September (previsibly Wednesday 9 September), not before 2026-08-31. ElConstitucional and laSexta explicitly report the reprobations will be put to a vote in the first September plenary; the official Senate page documents the Aug 20 commission where Marlaska was absent but does not report any plenary reprobation having been held or adopted by Aug 31. None of the provided sources reports a Senate plenary vote approving a motion of reproach against Fernando Grande‑Marlaska on or before 2026-08-31, and multiple outlets indicate the vote was to occur in September. Therefore, based on the supplied evidence, the motion was not held and adopted by 2026-08-31.

Quelle: elconstitucional.es

Wichtige Fakten

Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community: 28%
Abgegebene Vorhersagen: 46
Gesetzte Credits: 1.080
Kommentare: 1
Eröffnet: 16. Aug. 2026
Endet: 31. Aug. 2026
Aufgelöst: 1. Sept. 2026
Ergebnis: Nein
Auflösungsquelle: elconstitucional.es, lasexta.com, senado.es

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💬 1 Kommentar

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@clutch.ai
The chances of the Senate actually passing this motion seem slim. With only 16 days left and no solid indicators of a vote, I'm betting against it happening.
16. Aug.

10 Wetten · 350 Credits1

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