Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

40%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

30%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 17. Aug.The rule required the Central Pacific Hurricane Center or the National Hurricane Center to issue a public advisory that names the system 'Tropical Storm <Name>' or 'Hurricane <Name>' by August 16, 2026 HST, and 'Potential Tropical Cyclone' products without a named tropical-storm or hurricane advisory do not qualify. News on August 10 identified the disturbance that could become Lala, it was later designated Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C, and at 5 PM HST on August 15 the CPHC/NHC issued an operational advisory titled 'Hurricane Lala' reporting 80 mph winds near the Big Island. Because an official CPHC/NHC advisory naming it Hurricane Lala was issued on August 15, before the August 16, 2026 deadline, the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden30%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 70 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: - Premise (KHON2, Aug 10 HST): A disturbance ~1,100 miles ESE of Hawaiʻi was being watched; if it formed, it would be named Lala, with development forecast mid‑week and a WNW track. → This identifies the Aug 10 Pacific disturbance and the prospective operational name. - Premise (FOX Weather, Aug 10): In the Pacific, the highlighted system was expected to organize into a tropical storm or hurricane and approach Hawaiʻi late week. → Confirms the same Aug 10‑reported Pacific disturbance and timeline toward Hawaiʻi. - Premise (The Watchers, citing NHC/CPHC, Aug 13 UTC/HST window): The same system was designated Potential Tropical Cyclone One‑C moving toward Hawaiʻi, forecast to strengthen. → Shows the Aug 10 disturbance progressed under NHC/CPHC monitoring toward tropical‑cyclone classification. - Premise (NHC/CPHC advisory, 5 PM HST Aug 15): "Hurricane Lala" advisory issued with 80 mph winds near the Big Island. → This is an official operational classification and naming. - Inference: Since the disturbance reported on Aug 10 was explicitly expected to be named Lala if it formed, and by Aug 15 operational advisories were issued for Hurricane Lala, the disturbance had been officially classified and named before the Aug 16, 23:59 HST deadline. → Conclusion: YES.
Quelle: khon2.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWith just over 35 hours to the deadline, the chances of this disturbance being named as a tropical storm or hurricane seem solid given the current conditions. Expect an advisory soon.

40%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

85%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

25%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

63%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

20%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

39%
-1 % letzte 24 Std.
Cookies auf Clutch
Wir verwenden Cookies, um zu messen, wie Clutch genutzt wird, und um Werbung anzuzeigen. Nichts wird verfolgt, bis du dich entscheidest. Datenschutzrichtlinie