Will a tropical cyclone in the Eastern North Pacific be named 'Norbert'?

50%
+5 % letzte 24 Std.

44%
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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 11. Aug.YES if the official incident command, the InciWeb incident page for the "Old Trails Fire", or official Washington State DNR or Spokane County incident updates report the Old Trails Fire as 100% contained no later than August 10, 2026. If the Old Trails Fire has been formally merged into a larger incident and no separate listing exists, YES only if the combined incident that includes the original Old Trails Fire footprint is reported 100% contained by that deadline. If only part of the original footprint is reported contained, that does not count. Otherwise NO.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden44%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 56 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent news updates in the supplied evidence show the Old Trails Fire had not been fully contained by the deadline. Columbia Basin Herald (2026-08-10) reports the Old Trails fire as 53% contained (update dated Aug 10), IQAir (2026-08-09) reports it 43% contained, and OPB (2026-08-06) reported much lower containment earlier; none of the provided sources reports 100% containment by 2026-08-10 23:59 PDT. Based strictly on these supplied sources, the fire was not 100% contained by the deadline.
Quelle: columbiabasinherald.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWith 13 hours left, the fire is 43% contained, so it is mathematically impossible for them to extinguish it completely.
With just six days left and no containment reported so far, I doubt they’ll manage to get it to 100%. The timeline is too tight.

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22%
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60%
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85%
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26%
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20%
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