Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 2. Aug.YES if, on or before 20:00 on August 2, 2026, an official public bulletin or press statement from the Prefecture of Var (préfet Simon Babre) or the Var departmental firefighting authority explicitly states that the wildfire reported by TF1 as restarting on 31 July 2026 is 'maîtrisé', 'fixé' or 'éteint' or an unambiguous English equivalent such as 'contained', 'held' or 'extinguished'. National news agencies that quote those official statements (for example AFP, Franceinfo, Le Monde) are acceptable. If official bodies publish conflicting statuses, the most recent official statement from the Prefecture or the departmental authority named in official bulletins determines the outcome, and statements clearly about a different fire do not count.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden33%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 67 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: The supplied evidence contains direct, dated statements from the Prefect of Var (Simon Babre) and the Var firefighting command that the wildfire was 'stabilisé' and explicitly not 'fixé' / not yet fixed. TF1 (updated 01‑Aug‑2026) quotes Prefect Simon Babre saying “le feu n'est pas fixé mais stabilisé” (20:06 on 01/08/2026). CNEWS (02‑Aug‑2026) quotes the Var firefighting chief (Eric Grohin) and prefectural updates on 02/08/2026 stating the fire was not yet fixed and that firefighters were still treating hot spots. No supplied source shows the Préfecture du Var or the Var departmental firefighting authority explicitly declaring that this Var wildfire was “maîtrisé”, “fixé” or “éteint” on or before 20:00 CEST on 2026‑08‑02. (A community report lists a separate Brignoles fire as “maîtrisé” on 29/07, but that is a different incident and not an explicit prefectural/SDIS declaration for the TF1‑referenced wildfire.) Therefore, based on the provided evidence, the correct settlement is NO.
Quelle: tf1info.frQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenYes
It started going nuts again yesterday, I think.
Honestly, yes
no way they’ll have it under control by then. it’s like saying a cat will stop knocking stuff off the table. 🤷♂️

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20%
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39%
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