Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 20. Aug.The market required UNAM to publicly confirm it physically administered in‑person 'examen de control' sessions in each of the four named cities on these exact dates: León on 12 and 13 August 2026, Oaxaca on 13 August 2026, Tijuana on 15 and 16 August 2026, and Mexico City on 17, 18 and 19 August 2026. UNAM’s official Gaceta published the schedule and logistics for those sessions, and multiple major Mexican outlets including Expansión, Grupo Animal and contemporaneous reporters such as ViveUSA carried the same dates and venues, noting the exam began on 12 August, and no report indicated any cancellation, postponement or switch to an online format. Because UNAM’s own publication and consistent national reporting show the exams were held in person on the exact dates and in the exact cities listed, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden36%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 64 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Multiple independent news outlets and UNAM’s own publication reported the same, specific application calendar and locations for the in-person Examen de Control between 12–19 August 2026 (León 12–13 Aug; Oaxaca 13 Aug; Tijuana 15–16 Aug; Ciudad de México 17–19 Aug). UNAM’s Gaceta (official) published the schedule and logistics, national outlets (e.g. Expansión, Grupo Animal and others) published the identical dates/venues, and contemporaneous reporting (e.g. ViveUSA on 12 Aug) states the control exam began on 12 August. No supplied source reports a cancellation or postponement of those sessions. Taken together, the evidence shows UNAM physically administered the in-person control exam sessions on the listed dates and in the listed cities.
Quelle: politica.expansion.mxQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWith just six days left, it seems unlikely UNAM will confirm all sessions as scheduled. Given the timing and their track record, I'm betting on a NO here.

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