37%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 3. Sept.The market pays yes if the full, signed or final legal text of the U.S.-Canada trade agreement is posted on an official U.S. government website or an official Government of Canada website by September 2, 2026, or if two or more independent authoritative news organizations publish and link to that full official text by that date. Reporting from Politico on August 22 and CBC on August 26 says that neither government released the text, the Prime Minister’s official statement on August 21 says Canada suspended negotiations, and later coverage from Reuters and the Conference Board continued to describe the talks as failed or suspended with no claim that a final signed legal text was posted. Because no full text was posted on an official U.S. or Canadian government site and no two independent authoritative outlets linked to the full official text by September 2, 2026, the market resolves no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden37%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 63 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent, authoritative sources in the supplied evidence explicitly report that no final/signed text had been released and that talks had collapsed or been suspended. Politico (Aug. 22) and CBC (Aug. 26) state that “neither government has released the text” of the draft/agreement; the Prime Minister’s official statement (Aug. 21) says Canada suspended negotiations; later coverage (Conference Board, Reuters) continues to describe the talks as having failed and makes no claim that a full signed/final legal text was posted. The supplied material also shows only reports of a draft being circulated privately to industry (Politico Pro), not a posted, signed, final legal text on an official U.S. or Canadian government website, nor two or more independent outlets linking to such an official full text. On the basis of these sources, the required publication/posting did not occur by Sept 2, 2026.
Quelle: politico.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWith only about two weeks to the deadline, there's little chance the full text surfaces. Previous patterns indicate just summaries and press releases, so I’d bet no on this one.
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-1 % letzte 24 Std.
94%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
68%
+10 % letzte 24 Std.
32%
-1 % letzte 24 Std.
60%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
44%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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