Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

40%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

79%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 31. Aug.The market required that the Cámara de Diputados hold and complete an official vote on 31 August 2026 (Mexico City local date) to elect its Mesa Directiva, and that the completion and result be publicly reported that same day by at least two independent news outlets or appear in the Chamber's plenary minutes or a press release. On 31 August 2026 the Chamber's communications page announced the election, and multiple independent outlets reported that the Cámara de Diputados elected Raúl Bolaños Cacho Cué as President of the Mesa Directiva with 432 votes in favor, 1 against and 10 abstentions, and that he took the oath that day. Those same-day official notice and independent reports meet the rule, so the market resolves to yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden79%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 79 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent news outlets in the provided evidence report that on 31 August 2026 the Cámara de Diputados held a preparatory session in which Raúl Bolaños Cacho Cué was elected President of the Mesa Directiva (reports give the tally as 432 votes in favor, 1 against and 10 abstentions) and that he rendered the oath the same day. The Chamber's communications page had announced the election for 31 Aug and independent outlets (AMEXI, Ciudadanía Express, El Universal, El Sol de México, Sociedad-Noticias) corroborate that the vote took place and concluded on 2026-08-31. Because three or more independent credible reports unambiguously corroborate the dated outcome, the evidence establishes YES.
Quelle: amexi.com.mxQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWith less than a week to go and recent discussions in the Chamber, I lean towards yes. The political climate suggests they are likely to finalize the vote on schedule.

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57%
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