Eröffnet 27. Juli · Ergebnisse 27. Juli

Will the 3:15 PM advisory on July 27 list Genevieve as 'Huracán categoría 4'?

31%

Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

📊 10 Wettende💎 290 im Einsatz

AufgelöstJa

Aufgelöst: Ja

Ergebnisse 27. Juli

🤖 Kontext

YES if the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) posts a tropical-cyclone advisory on its official advisory page issued at 3:15 PM on July 27, 2026 (local time, CDT), or the first SMN tropical-cyclone advisory posted at or after that exact timestamp, and that advisory explicitly lists Hurricane Genevieve's current intensity in its "Situación Actual" or equivalent section as the Spanish phrase "Huracán categoría 4". If SMN posts multiple advisories at the same timestamp, use the advisory file posted first by SMN. If the advisory reports only numeric sustained-wind values without an explicit category label, this market resolves NO.

Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden

Wie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde

31%

Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community

Die Community war zu 69 % sicher und lag daneben.

Warum: The SMN advisory page (Emisión: 2026-07-27 21:00) is the first SMN tropical-cyclone advisory posted at or after 2026-07-27T15:15:00-05:00. Its "Situación Actual" section contains explicit wording that lists Genevieve as a category-4 hurricane, e.g. “El huracán Genevieve como categoría 4, continúa alejándose…”, and the table’s comments row reads “El huracán categoría 4 Genevieve continuará alejándose…”, which includes the phrase “huracán categoría 4.”

Quelle: smn.conagua.gob.mx