Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 31. Aug.The market requires SpaceXAI to publicly release Grok 4.7 (not an invitation-only closed beta) at any time on or before August 30, 2026, and final settlement follows Kalshi's official outcome for the corresponding Kalshi market. Kalshi finalized the corresponding market with an outcome of no. Because a public release by August 30, 2026 was required and Kalshi finalized no, the condition was not met, so this market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden43%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 57 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: SpaceXAI publicly releases Grok 4.7 (not an invitation-only closed beta) at any time strictly before Aug 31, 2026. Target window: before 2026-08-31 (i.e., through 2026-08-30 inclusive). Observed data from the authoritative mirror: Kalshi ticker KXGROK-GROK47-26AUG31 shows 'Official status: finalized' and 'Official finalized result: NO'. Comparison/decision: the market's rule requires mirroring Kalshi's official outcome; Kalshi finalized NO, therefore the condition was not met and this market resolves NO.
Quelle: kalshi.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenAugust 30 has passed, no response
Rather expected in early September
Given that there's only about 10 days left, and considering SpaceX's track record for timely releases, I'd bet on them announcing Grok 4.7 soon enough to meet the deadline.

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