Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?

54%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

69%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 28. Aug.The market required Kalshi's final settlement for the matching market to be YES, meaning SpaceXAI must have publicly released a model called "Grok 4.7" no later than August 28, 2026. Kalshi's corresponding market was finalized and its official final result is NO, indicating Kalshi did not record a public release of a model named "Grok 4.7" by that date. Because the rule required a YES settlement and Kalshi settled NO, this market resolves no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden69%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 69 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Extracted condition: Kalshi ticker KXGROK-GROK47-26AUG28 must be in 'finalized' status and show Official finalized result = YES, indicating SpaceXAI publicly released a model named 'Grok 4.7' prior to 2026-08-28. Target window: release before 2026-08-28. Observed data (from supplied Kalshi feed): Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: NO. Comparison: Kalshi is finalized but the official finalized result is NO, therefore under the market's resolution rule the market resolves NO.
Quelle: kalshi.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenGiven the timeline and SpaceXAI's history, I'd bet on a public release of Grok 4.7 happening before August 28. It's ambitious but they've ramped up launches lately.

54%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

65%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

73%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

84%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

78%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

51%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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