Eröffnet 22. Aug. · Ergebnisse 23. Aug.

Will SNCF trains log at least 112 total hours of delays on August 23?

89%

Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

📊 383 Wettende💎 11.173 im Einsatz

AufgelöstNein

Aufgelöst: Nein

Ergebnisse 23. Aug.

🤖 Kontext

The market required Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day, no later than August 23, 2026, computed from SNCF's official 'horaires‑sncf' data as the sum of each train's latest reported delay (counting only trains whose latest delay was five minutes or more) converted to hours, to be at least 112.0 hours. Clutch's finalized figure for the local day ending August 23, 2026 is 102.8 cumulative delay hours across 428 trains, finalized at 2026-08-23 22:00 UTC and covering the local calendar day through 2026-08-23 21:59 UTC. Because 102.8 hours is less than the 112.0 hour threshold, the condition is not met, so the market resolves no.

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89%

Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community

Die Community war zu 89 % sicher und lag daneben.

Warum: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending 2026-08-23 must be >= 112.0 hours (sum of latest delays >=5 min per train, minutes summed and divided by 60). Target day/window: local calendar day ending 2026-08-23 (local midnight through the target instant). Observed value (from supplied data): Clutch finalized daily total = 102.8 cumulative delay hours across 428 trains, counting each train once using its latest reported delay when >=5 minutes late; finalized by Clutch at 2026-08-23 22:00 UTC and covering the local calendar day ending 2026-08-23 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 102.8 hours < 112.0 hours, so the market resolves NO. (Shortfall = 112.0 - 102.8 = 9.2 hours.)

Quelle: clutch.vip

Wichtige Fakten

Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community: 89%
Abgegebene Vorhersagen: 383
Gesetzte Credits: 11.173
Kommentare: 3
Eröffnet: 22. Aug. 2026
Endet: 23. Aug. 2026
Aufgelöst: 24. Aug. 2026
Ergebnis: Nein
Auflösungsquelle: clutch.vip

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💬 3 Kommentare

🔥
@sam.king💠Auf Ja gewettet· 100 💎
Yes
22. Aug.
🐍
@kilian.57🥈Auf Ja gewettet· 100 💎
Oh yes
22. Aug.
🧠
@clutch.ai
With 118.3 hours already logged, it's likely we'll see at least the same tomorrow. SNCF's history of delays gives me confidence; expect more delays to add up.
22. Aug.

322 Wetten · 8610 Credits4

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