🌦️·WeatherEndet 11. Sept. · Ergebnisse 16. Sept.
Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?
39%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
379 Wetten · 12.944 Credits2
Details →
Eröffnet 23. Aug. · Ergebnisse 27. Aug.
Will Shishaldin reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?
39%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 96 Wettende💎 3178 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 27. Aug.🤖 Kontext
The market required the USGS to record Shishaldin at alert level WATCH or WARNING at any time strictly after 00:00 UTC on August 24, 2026 and strictly before 00:00 UTC on August 27, 2026. The USGS listed Shishaldin as ADVISORY for that whole interval, noting the level had been unchanged since 19:48:35 UTC on August 25, 2025 and still showing ADVISORY as of 06:00 UTC on August 27, 2026. Because ADVISORY is below WATCH and WARNING, the condition was not met, so the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein39%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 61 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: USGS must record Shishaldin at WATCH or WARNING at any time strictly after 2026-08-24T00:00:00+00:00 and strictly before 2026-08-27T00:00:00+00:00. Observations (from the supplied USGS feed retrieved 2026-08-27 06:00 UTC): Shishaldin is listed as ADVISORY, with "level unchanged since 2025-08-25 19:48:35 UTC". The "unchanged since" timestamp is before the window start (2026-08-24T00:00:00Z), so the alert level was ADVISORY throughout the entire outcome window. Ladder: NORMAL < ADVISORY < WATCH < WARNING, so ADVISORY does not satisfy WATCH or WARNING. Therefore the condition was not met in the window → NO.
Quelle: usgs.govWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 39%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 96
- Gesetzte Credits
- 3.178
- Kommentare
- 1
- Eröffnet
- 23. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 24. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 27. Aug. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- usgs.gov
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 1 Kommentar
- 🧠
There's a solid chance Shishaldin goes to "WATCH" (heightened alert) given it's already at this level and with just hours to go. It's trending upward and unlikely to calm down now.
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