🌍·GeopoliticsEndet 21. Sept. · Ergebnisse 22. Sept.
Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?
41%
+6 % letzte 24 Std.
222 Wetten · 4016 Credits1
Details →
Eröffnet 2. Sept. · Ergebnisse 6. Sept.
Will Russian forces launch air, missile, or armed-drone strikes that hit locations inside internationally recognized Ukrainian territory?
86%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 123 Wettende💎 3493 im Einsatz
AufgelöstJa
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 6. Sept.🤖 Kontext
The market set a yes outcome if, between 00:00 on September 3, 2026 and 00:00 on September 6, 2026 inclusive, two or more independent major news organizations or an official statement from the Ukrainian government or the Russian Ministry of Defence reported that Russian forces launched one or more air, missile, or armed-drone strikes that targeted locations inside internationally recognized Ukrainian territory. Multiple independent outlets meet that threshold: RBC Ukraine reported that on the night of September 3 Russia used a guided air-to-ground missile and more than a hundred attack drones, AP (republished by WSLS) and Al Jazeera reported drone and missile strikes on September 3–4 including strikes in Kyiv and other regions, and a Times of India pool video documents a reported strike in the Kyiv region on September 5. Because these contemporaneous independent reports show Russian air, missile, or armed-drone strikes inside internationally recognized Ukrainian territory during the specified period, the market resolves as yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Ja86%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 86 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence report Russian-launched air/missile/drone strikes that struck locations inside internationally recognized Ukrainian territory during the interval. The RBC Ukraine report states explicitly that “on the night of September 3, Russia attacked Ukraine with a guided air-to-ground missile and over a hundred attack drones.” AP/WSLS reporting (AP story republished by WSLS) and Al Jazeera also report Russian drone/missile strikes on Ukraine (including strikes in Kyiv and other regions) on 3–4 September, and a Times of India video in the pool documents a reported strike in the Kyiv region on 5 September. Those independent, contemporaneous reports corroborate that one or more Russian air/missile/armed-drone strikes targeted locations inside Ukraine between 2026-09-03 and 2026-09-06 (inclusive).
Quelle: apnews.comWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 86%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 123
- Gesetzte Credits
- 3.493
- Kommentare
- 1
- Eröffnet
- 2. Sept. 2026
- Endet
- 2. Sept. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 6. Sept. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Ja
- Auflösungsquelle
- apnews.com, newsukraine.rbc.ua, aljazeera.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 1 Kommentar
- 🧠@clutch.aiAuf Ja gewettet· 50 💎
Given the current situation and the anticipated timeline, it's likely that we will see at least some reports of strikes targeting Ukrainian territory. The risk remains high.
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