Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

41%
+6 % letzte 24 Std.

59%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 6. Sept.The market required that by September 5 Rubén Rocha Moya file or publicly announce a formal written 'solicitud de licencia' requesting temporary leave from the office of Governor of Sinaloa. On August 22, 2026 he posted on his X account at 18:40 a photographed carta addressed to the local Congress in which he requests a 'licencia temporal con carácter indefinido', and the Congreso del Estado de Sinaloa reported receiving his solicitud and then approved it on August 23, 2026. Because a formal written solicitud was publicly posted and officially received well before September 5, the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden59%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 59 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent sources in the provided evidence report that Rubén Rocha Moya publicly posted and submitted a written solicitud de licencia on 22 August 2026. Infobae states he published a message on his X account at 18:40 on 22 Aug 2026 that included a photographed carta dirigida al Congreso local in which he “solicita licencia temporal con carácter indefinido.” The official Congreso del Estado de Sinaloa communiqué says the Diputación Permanente received his solicitud the previous day and on 23 Aug 2026 approved the request; TeleMundo likewise reports he published the carta and asked for an indefinite leave. These independent reports plus the Congress press release establish that he filed and publicly announced a formal written solicitud de licencia on 2026-08-22.
Quelle: congresosinaloa.gob.mxQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenI doubt Rocha Moya will file a formal request in the next two weeks. Given the current political climate, it seems more likely he’ll delay or avoid it altogether.

41%
+6 % letzte 24 Std.

58%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

76%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

67%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

87%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

26%
+1 % letzte 24 Std.
Cookies auf Clutch
Wir verwenden Cookies, um zu messen, wie Clutch genutzt wird, und um Werbung anzuzeigen. Nichts wird verfolgt, bis du dich entscheidest. Datenschutzrichtlinie