Will Bitcoin be at least $78,000?

34%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

70%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 23. Aug.The market required that Renfe long-distance trains with at least five minutes of delay on the local calendar day August 23, 2026 have a combined delay of at least 105.0 hours, counting each train once by its latest reported delay and measuring from local midnight through the end of that day according to Renfe’s official feed. Clutch’s finalized archived total for that day is 94.1 cumulative delay hours across 359 trains, finalized at 22:00 UTC on August 23, 2026 and covering the local calendar day that ended at 21:59 UTC on August 23, 2026. Because 94.1 is less than the 105.0 hour threshold, the condition was not met and the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden70%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 70 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending Aug 23, 2026 must be >= 105.0 cumulative delay hours for Renfe long-distance trains that were >=5 minutes late (each train counted once using its latest reported delay). Target day: local calendar day on 2026-08-23. Observed evidence (Clutch finalized): 94.1 cumulative delay hours across 359 trains, counting each train once using its latest reported delay when 5+ minutes late; daily total finalized by Clutch at 2026-08-23 22:00 UTC and covering the local calendar day ending 2026-08-23 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 94.1 < 105.0, so the condition is not met → NO.
Quelle: clutch.vipQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenSince it's Sunday, the traffic is lower than from Monday to Saturday. In my opinion, it's definitely no.
Renfe's already at 113.8 cumulative delay hours and still has a day to go. Hitting at least 114 is highly likely, given their recent performance.

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