Will Lucan Pevidor gain more subscribers than MrBeast on Tubefilter's Top 50 Most Subscribed chart?

29%
+3 % letzte 24 Std.

67%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 2. Sept.The rule says the market is YES if, on or before September 1, 2026, there is a public record, such as an official press release, a court docket entry, or contemporaneous reporting by major news organizations, stating that Raúl Rocha Cantú was physically taken into custody. The supplied coverage from outlets including El Financiero, El Universal, Infobae, Reporte Índigo and a September 1 roundup at Sociedad-Noticias reports he was seen traveling in Monaco and that the Fiscalía had active arrest orders, but none of those sources reports that he was arrested, booked, or held by any law enforcement on or before September 1, 2026. Because there is no public record showing he was physically detained by that deadline, the market resolves no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden67%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 67 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence (El Financiero, El Universal, Infobae, Reporte Índigo and a Sep 1 roundup at Sociedad-Noticias) report that Raúl Rocha Cantú was seen traveling in Monaco and that the Fiscalía (FGR) had active orders of arrest against him. None of the provided sources report that he was arrested, booked, or held by any law‑enforcement authority on or before 2026-09-01. (Instances in the coverage that say he was “detenido” by a young woman refer to a member of the public stopping/filming him, not a police custody action.) Based strictly on the supplied evidence, the positive, corroborated reporting supports that he had not been taken into custody on or before 2026-09-01.
Quelle: elfinanciero.com.mxQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenGiven the timeline and the context, it’s very likely there will be a public record of Raúl Rocha Cantú's detention before the deadline. Major outlets are typically quick to cover high-profile cases like this.

29%
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38%
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76%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

49%
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33%
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93%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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