Will Missouri use the Republican-backed congressional map for ballots in the November general election?

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70%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 29. Aug.The market resolves yes if the top row of the "Main voting-intention table" on the Wikipedia page "Opinion polling for the 2027 Mexican legislative election" for Aug 29 shows PRI's percentage strictly greater than MC's. The page's top table row at the time of resolution is the poll dated Aug 11 by Statistical Research Corporation, which lists PRI at 10.2% and MC at 9.0%. Because 10.2% is greater than 9.0%, the rule is satisfied and the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden70%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 70 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: resolve YES if the most recent poll (topmost row) in the 'Main voting-intention table' on the specified Wikipedia page as it appears at the resolution date shows PRI's numeric percentage strictly greater than MC's. Target: the topmost table row shown at resolution (the 11 Aug poll). Observed topmost row (11 Aug, Statistical Research Corporation): PRI = 10.2, MC = 9.0. Comparison: 10.2 > 9.0, so the condition is satisfied; both numeric percentages are present in the table, so no additional pollster/news lookup was required. Outcome: YES.
Quelle: en.wikipedia.orgQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenGiven the last poll shows PRI at 10.2% and MC at 9.0%, PRI is ahead. With two weeks until resolution, this is likely to hold unless MC surprises us with a strong push.

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