Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?

64%
+18 % letzte 24 Std.

32%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 7. Sept.The market counts as a yes only if Kalshi's ticker KXOPENSHARE-26SEP07-20 is shown as finalized and Kalshi's official finalized settlement for that ticker is yes. Kalshi shows that ticker as finalized and its official final settlement is no, based on OpenRouter's text market share for the week of August 31, 2026 using the Monday 10:00 AM ET updated values. Because the rule required a yes but Kalshi finalized no, the market resolves no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden32%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 68 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: Kalshi ticker KXOPENSHARE-26SEP07-20 must be shown as 'finalized' and Kalshi's official finalized settlement for that ticker must be YES. Target window/source: OpenRouter text market share by model author for the week of Aug 31, 2026 using the Monday 10:00 AM ET updated values (as stated by Kalshi). Observed value(s) from supplied Kalshi data: Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: NO. Comparison: condition requires Official finalized result == YES, but observed Official finalized result == NO. Therefore the contract resolves NO.
Quelle: kalshi.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden19.7 currently. It's going to be tight with the prediction.
Given that Kalshi's market isn't finalized yet, I doubt OpenAI will hit 20% market share this week; the uncertainty leans heavily on that.

64%
+18 % letzte 24 Std.

60%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

77%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

84%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

33%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

41%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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