Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

84%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

78%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 7. Sept.The market's rule says it resolves YES only if Kalshi finalizes the exact ticker KXOPENSHARE-26SEP07-19.0 with an official outcome of YES, based on OpenRouter's "text market share by model author" for the week of August 31, 2026 at the Monday 10:00 AM ET update, and where the share must be strictly greater than 19.0%. Kalshi's record shows the ticker KXOPENSHARE-26SEP07-19.0 is finalized with an official result of YES. Because Kalshi finalized that exact ticker as YES, the market resolves to yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden78%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 78 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: Kalshi must have set the exact ticker KXOPENSHARE-26SEP07-19.0 to status 'finalized' with an official outcome of YES (the market's resolution rule). Target: the official finalized outcome for ticker KXOPENSHARE-26SEP07-19.0. Observed value(s): supplied Kalshi ticker data shows "Official status: finalized" and "Official finalized result: YES" for KXOPENSHARE-26SEP07-19.0. Comparison: the required status is finalized and the official outcome is YES, so the market resolves YES per the rule.
Quelle: kalshi.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenIt was before the release of Astra 🙂
OpenAI's market share is unlikely to break 19% this week, especially with the tight timeline and potential inclusion in 'Others'. Better to bet against it.

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84%
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54%
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74%
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53%
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