Eröffnet 3. Juli · Ergebnisse 16. Aug.

Will OpenAI experience another major outage before August 15, 2026?

44%

Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

📊 393 Wettende💎 9637 im Einsatz

AufgelöstJa

Aufgelöst: Ja

Ergebnisse 16. Aug.

🤖 Kontext

This market resolves to yes if OpenAI experiences a major outage, defined as a service disruption lasting more than 30 minutes, at any time before August 15, 2026. Multiple independent reports documented such disruptions before that date, including an Android Authority article on August 10, 2026 that says reports began around 8:20 AM ET and that OpenAI’s status page showed elevated error rates while the article was live, and corroborating reports from The Times of India and IT-Branschen (the latter on July 26, 2026). Those facts show a disruption that lasted longer than 30 minutes, so the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.

Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden

Wie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde

44%

Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community

Die Community war zu 56 % sicher und lag daneben.

Warum: Multiple independent sources in the supplied evidence report significant OpenAI/ChatGPT service disruptions before 2026-08-15. Android Authority’s Aug 10, 2026 article (posted 10:23 AM ET) states reports began around 8:20 AM ET and that OpenAI’s status page showed elevated error rates while the article was live, indicating the disruption persisted well over 30 minutes. Times of India and IT-Branschen also reported large-scale/global ChatGPT outages (the IT-Branschen piece dated July 26, 2026), corroborating that OpenAI experienced at least one major outage prior to 2026-08-15.

Quelle: androidauthority.com

Wichtige Fakten

Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community: 44%
Abgegebene Vorhersagen: 393
Gesetzte Credits: 9.637
Kommentare: 0
Eröffnet: 3. Juli 2026
Endet: 15. Aug. 2026
Aufgelöst: 16. Aug. 2026
Ergebnis: Ja
Auflösungsquelle: androidauthority.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com, itbranschen.com