Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?

59%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

58%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 2. Sept.The rule said that if, when the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) 'Labs' leaderboard was checked on August 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, Moonshot appeared as the third-highest ranked primarily Chinese company in the 'Lab Rank' column, the answer would be yes. At that check the official Polymarket mirror for the identical question recorded a no outcome. Because this market was specified to resolve the same way as that Polymarket result, the condition was not met and the market settles as no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden58%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 58 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Extracted condition: At 2026-08-31 12:00 PM ET, the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) Leaderboard filtered for 'Labs' must show Moonshot as the third-highest ranked primarily Chinese company in the 'Lab Rank' column. Observation used: supplied Polymarket official mirrored market state for the identical question shows the market is resolved with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 (i.e., resolved NO). The market's rule text explicitly instructs this market to resolve identically to the official Polymarket resolution; therefore the Polymarket resolved outcome (NO) directly determines this market's outcome. Comparison & conclusion: Polymarket resolved NO, so Moonshot was not identified as the third-highest primarily Chinese company per the authoritative resolution — therefore this market resolves NO.
Quelle: clutch.vipQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenYes, it's the best

59%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

28%
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43%
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81%
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85%
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79%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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