Will Median Strategies publicly retract or disavow its Los Angeles mayoral poll?

🤖 Kontext

The market required that by September 1, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM Pacific Time at least two independent, authoritative news outlets report that Median Strategies issued a public retraction or disavowal of that specific Los Angeles mayoral poll, for example a firm press release, an official post quoted in reporting, or a spokesperson quoted as withdrawing the poll or saying the firm did not conduct or does not stand by it. Multiple independent outlets met that standard. The Los Angeles Times reported on August 17, 2026 that Median Strategies told the paper the purported poll "was nothing of the kind" and called the effort a "short-term social experiment," and outlets including the Associated Press, PBS, CalMatters, The Hill, and ABC7 reported the firm replaced its website with a disclaimer and said previously published polling releases were withdrawn and should not be treated as genuine. Because two or more authoritative outlets published that retraction before the deadline, the condition is satisfied and the market resolves to yes.

Wichtige Fakten

Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community

60%

Abgegebene Vorhersagen

111

Gesetzte Credits

6.108

Kommentare

1

Eröffnet

22. Aug. 2026

Endet

2. Sept. 2026

Aufgelöst

2. Sept. 2026

Ergebnis

Ja

Auflösungsquelle

latimes.com, pbs.org, calmatters.org