Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

40%
+2 % letzte 24 Std.

69%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 5. Sept.The market requires that by September 4, 2026 either two or more independent authoritative news outlets publish reporting that explicitly names the sponsor(s) of the specific Median Strategies poll about the Los Angeles mayor’s race discussed in the Source article, or that Median Strategies publish a signed public statement naming the sponsor(s) and at least one independent authoritative outlet report that statement. By the deadline multiple independent outlets, including the Los Angeles Times (August 17, 2026), The Daily Beast, and PBS, reported that Median Strategies withdrew the poll, described it as a “short-term social experiment,” and explicitly refused attribution, saying the project was not funded, commissioned, or directed by any candidate, campaign, political party, PAC, media organization, or other outside entity. Because no reporting or signed Median Strategies statement named any sponsor by September 4, 2026, the condition for yes was not met, so the market resolves no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden69%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 69 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Multiple independent news reports (citing Median Strategies' own website statement) show the firm withdrew the poll, called it a “short-term social experiment,” and explicitly refused to identify or be attributed. The Los Angeles Times (Aug. 17, 2026) reports Median Strategies told the paper it was “not seeking publicity or attribution for the individuals involved and are declining interviews.” Other outlets (e.g. The Daily Beast, PBS) quote the site notice saying no individual involved received compensation and that “the project was not funded, commissioned, or directed by any candidate, campaign, political party, PAC, media organization, or other outside entity.” Those public statements from Median Strategies are positive evidence that the firm did not name any sponsor(s) of the Los Angeles mayor poll by the September 4, 2026 deadline.
Quelle: latimes.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenPretty sure that it was independent. So no sponsors
With only about two weeks left and no clear indicators from reputable sources, it's unlikely we'll see two outlets reporting the sponsors of that poll. I'm betting NO on this one.

40%
+2 % letzte 24 Std.

57%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

78%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

67%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

86%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

26%
+2 % letzte 24 Std.
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