Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the Tag Heuer Spanish Grand Prix?

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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 5. Sept.The market's rule says it resolves yes if the official stewards' decision or the published starting grid for the 2026 Italian Grand Prix at Monza lists Kimi Antonelli as required to start the race from a grid position lower than his qualifying position (or from the back if he set no time) and explicitly attributes that drop to installation of new power‑unit components or to exceeding power‑unit component allocations. The official qualifying classification shows Antonelli set 7th, and the stewards' published grid for the race places him lower than that, explicitly citing installation of additional power unit components and exceeding permitted component allocations as the reason. Because he was moved down from his 7th place and the official published reason names power‑unit component changes or exceeded allocations, the market resolves yes.
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Warum: The official qualifying classification (Ergast API) shows Kimi Antonelli qualified 7th. Multiple independent outlets (Formula1.com, Crash.net, The Race, Motorsport.com, SkySports, Racer, etc.) report that Mercedes fitted/took additional power‑unit components for Antonelli (explicitly mentioning terms such as 'power unit', 'new ICE', 'PU‑CE', 'Energy Store/ES' or that the team had 'exceeded their permitted allocation' of power units), triggering a large cumulative grid penalty. Starting‑grid reports in the supplied sources show Antonelli moved to the back / a lower slot for the Italian Grand Prix as a direct result of those power‑unit/component changes. Both conditions in the question (start lower than qualified, and reason explicitly attributed to new power‑unit components/exceeded allocation) are therefore satisfied by the supplied evidence.
Quelle: api.jolpi.caQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenBet on yes, it's won and announced by the FIA today
It's likely Antonelli starts lower on the grid; with the deadline approaching, the stewards usually penalize new power unit parts. Keep an eye on the official grid for confirmation.

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