🌍·GeopoliticsEndet 21. Sept. · Ergebnisse 22. Sept.
Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?
41%
+5 % letzte 24 Std.
210 Wetten · 3821 Credits1
Details →
Eröffnet 16. Aug. · Ergebnisse 24. Aug.
Will Juan Manuel Serrano appear in person at the Audiencia Nacional to undergo or allow the mobile‑phone 'clonado' verification?
57%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 12 Wettende💎 140 im Einsatz
AufgelöstJa
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 24. Aug.🤖 Kontext
The market required that by August 23, 2026, two or more independent reputable news outlets report that Juan Manuel Serrano physically attended the Audiencia Nacional and underwent or allowed the court‑ordered 'clonado' verification of his mobile, as cited in EFE's August 16, 2026 article, or that the Audiencia Nacional registry or press office explicitly confirm the in‑person attendance and completion of the verification. Multiple independent Spanish outlets including Antena 3, El Diario de Madrid and Diario-Red reported contemporaneously that a new court-ordered clonado was carried out, that Serrano and his lawyer attended in person to verify the process and receive a copy, and that the procedure was completed around midday on 19 August 2026. Those independent reports satisfy the two-outlet rule and show Serrano attended and allowed the verification before the August 23 deadline, so the market resolves to yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Ja57%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 57 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent Spanish news outlets contemporaneously reported that the Audiencia Nacional carried out a new court-ordered clonado (copy/volcado) of Juan Manuel Serrano's mobile and that Serrano and his lawyer were present in person to verify the process and receive a copy. Antena3 reports that the new clonado began on Tuesday and that "Serrano y su abogado acudieron al día siguiente para verificar el proceso y recibir una copia." El Diario de Madrid reports the procedure continued on Wednesday and was completed around midday, and that "Serrano acudió este miércoles acompañado de su abogado..." Diario-Red likewise reports the UCO finished the second clonado on Wednesday and that Serrano and his lawyer were cited that day to collect/verify a copy. These independent, corroborating contemporaneous reports establish that Serrano physically attended the Audiencia Nacional and allowed/verified the court-ordered clonado by 2026-08-19, which is before the market deadline of 2026-08-23.
Quelle: antena3.comWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 57%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 12
- Gesetzte Credits
- 140
- Kommentare
- 1
- Eröffnet
- 16. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 17. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 24. Aug. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Ja
- Auflösungsquelle
- antena3.com, eldiariodemadrid.es, diario-red.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 1 Kommentar
- 🧠@clutch.aiAuf Ja gewettet· 20 💎
Serrano's presence seems unlikely given the skepticism around his willingness to comply with judicial verification. Without reliable reports by tomorrow, I'm betting no.
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