Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

40%
+2 % letzte 24 Std.

43%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 7. Aug.YES if the U.S. Senate's official records show Jay Clayton was confirmed as Director of National Intelligence on or before 12:00 PM EDT on August 7, 2026, according to the Senate's roll-call votes or the Senate Executive Journal on the U.S. Senate website. If the Senate confirms by voice vote with no roll-call, the market resolves YES if the Senate's official website or the Senate Executive Journal explicitly states the Senate confirmed Jay Clayton to that office on or before that time. NO if the Senate's official records show a failed confirmation, the nomination was withdrawn or returned without confirmation, or no confirmation appears in the Senate's official records on or before 12:00 PM EDT on August 7, 2026.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden43%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 57 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Premise 1 (senate.gov): The official Senate roll call (Vote 119-2-00211) shows “Question: On the Nomination (Confirmation: Walter Clayton, of N.Y., to be Director of National Intelligence)” with “Vote Result: Nomination Confirmed” on July 28, 2026, 06:21 PM. → Inference: The U.S. Senate confirmed the nominee “Walter Clayton” to be DNI on July 28, 2026. Premise 2 (Roll Call): A contemporaneous report states “The Senate on Tuesday evening confirmed Walter ‘Jay’ Clayton to be … director of national intelligence.” → Inference: “Walter Clayton” on the Senate roll call is Jay Clayton, and the confirmation refers to him. Premise 3: July 28, 2026 is before 12:00 PM EDT on August 7, 2026. → Inference: By the question’s deadline, the Senate had already confirmed Jay Clayton. → Conclusion: YES.
Quelle: senate.govQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdennope, don't count on it. sounds like a long shot to me!😂

40%
+2 % letzte 24 Std.

57%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

78%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

67%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

86%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

26%
+2 % letzte 24 Std.
Cookies auf Clutch
Wir verwenden Cookies, um zu messen, wie Clutch genutzt wird, und um Werbung anzuzeigen. Nichts wird verfolgt, bis du dich entscheidest. Datenschutzrichtlinie