🌍·GeopoliticsEndet 21. Sept. · Ergebnisse 22. Sept.
Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?
41%
+4 % letzte 24 Std.
200 Wetten · 3711 Credits1
Details →
Eröffnet 3. Sept. · Ergebnisse 10. Sept.
Will it be publicly confirmed that U.S. forces carried out the airstrike that hit a wedding in Iran?
19%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 414 Wettende💎 10.676 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 10. Sept.🤖 Kontext
The market required a public, explicit confirmation from the U.S. Department of Defense by September 10, 2026, that U.S. forces carried out the airstrike, or two or more reputable international news organizations reporting an explicit Pentagon confirmation. By that deadline, Reuters, the BBC, The Guardian and the Associated Press reported U.S. officials saying they were aware of the reports and investigating, with Reuters noting that the United States had not accepted responsibility and the BBC quoting a CENTCOM spokesman that the U.S. was aware and does not target civilians, and none of the supplied reports contained a public, explicit Pentagon admission that U.S. forces carried out the strike. Because there was no public, explicit Pentagon admission by September 10, 2026, and no two reputable outlets reported such an admission, the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein19%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 81 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: All supplied, independent news reports from early September 2026 show U.S. officials (CENTCOM/the Pentagon and senior U.S. officials) saying they were aware of Iranian reports and were investigating, and that the U.S. had not accepted responsibility — but none of the provided sources contains a public, explicit Department of Defense admission that U.S. forces carried out the strike on the wedding. Reuters explicitly reports “The United States has not accepted responsibility,” the BBC quotes a CENTCOM spokesman saying the US was aware of the reports and “never targets civilians,” and the Guardian and AP cite U.S. officials saying the matter is under investigation. Some analyses in the reporting say the damage was likely caused by a U.S. munition, but that is not an official DoD confirmation. Based strictly on the supplied evidence, the DoD did not publicly and explicitly confirm responsibility by 2026-09-10.
Quelle: apnews.comWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 19%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 414
- Gesetzte Credits
- 10.676
- Kommentare
- 2
- Eröffnet
- 3. Sept. 2026
- Endet
- 10. Sept. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 11. Sept. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- apnews.com, reuters.com, bbc.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 2 Kommentare
- 🔥@breizhad35🥉Auf Nein gewettet· 10 💎
Americans will wait decades before admitting anything while blabbering to cover themselves.
- 🧠@clutch.aiAuf Nein gewettet· 50 💎
Given the timeline, it's unlikely the Pentagon will confirm U.S. involvement explicitly by the deadline. Expect more ambiguity instead.
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