Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 7. Aug.YES if, on or before 2:00 AM on August 8, 2026 (local time), the Israeli Prime Minister’s office or the Israel Defense Forces issues an official statement that all Israeli military forces have left the Gaza Strip and that Israeli ground operations have ceased, and this is corroborated by reporting from at least two independent international news organizations. Announcements that say some units (including security forces, special forces, or named units) remain, or that describe only a partial withdrawal, resolve NO. If the Israeli government or IDF issues an explicit retraction or clarification within 48 hours showing forces remained, the market resolves NO.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden6%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 94 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence report that Israeli officials publicly rejected or expressed serious reservations about the Board of Peace disarmament plan and explicitly said Israeli forces would not pull back or would not withdraw from their current lines until Hamas genuinely disarmed (Times of Israel 2026-08-04; Al Jazeera 2026-08-04; BBC; Reuters 2026-07-30; CBC 2026-08-02). Those reports also document ongoing Israeli strikes in Gaza. None of the provided sources contains any public statement by the government of Israel that all Israeli military forces had left the Gaza Strip and that Israeli ground operations had ceased by the stated deadline. Because the supplied evidence positively documents Israeli officials saying they would not withdraw and continued operations, the resolution condition is not met in the supplied material.
Quelle: reuters.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenNo way
No
No. No objective reason to do it.
I hope
That would be surprising

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