🌍·GeopoliticsEndet 21. Sept. · Ergebnisse 22. Sept.
Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?
40%
+2 % letzte 24 Std.
195 Wetten · 3621 Credits1
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Eröffnet 27. Aug. · Ergebnisse 3. Sept.
Will Israel publicly accept the U.S. ceasefire proposal for Gaza?
12%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 701 Wettende💎 18.305 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 3. Sept.🤖 Kontext
The market required that by September 2, 2026 at least two independent, authoritative news outlets report that the Israeli government publicly and unambiguously accepted the specific U.S. ceasefire proposal described in the AP story, preferably in an official Israeli government or Prime Minister's Office statement or a White House release. Instead, multiple credible reports before and on those dates show public rejection or firm conditions: AFP and Arab News on September 2, 2026 ran the headline "Israel rejects US-backed ceasefire" and quoted Prime Minister Netanyahu saying Israeli forces would not withdraw and "We are not retreating," Crisis Group on August 24 reported Israel dismissed the Board-of-Peace roadmap, the UN press summary on August 26 records China saying Israel "not only openly rejected it," and NPR on August 27 reported Israeli officials saying withdrawal will not occur until Hamas is fully disarmed. Because these dated public rejections and conditional statements do not meet the rule's required clear acceptance, the market resolves no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein12%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 88 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent, credible sources in the supplied evidence show that by 2026-09-02 the Israeli government had not publicly and unambiguously accepted the U.S. ceasefire proposal; instead Israeli leaders publicly rejected or placed firm conditions on it. AFP/Arab News (2026-09-02) headlined “Israel rejects US-backed ceasefire,” reporting Prime Minister Netanyahu said Israeli forces would not withdraw and “We are not retreating.” Crisis Group (24 Aug 2026) reports that Israel dismissed the Board-of-Peace roadmap and objected to its terms. The UN press summary (26 Aug 2026) records that China said Israel “not only openly rejected it,” and UNSC/press reporting (NPR, 27 Aug 2026) records Israeli officials saying withdrawal will not occur until Hamas is fully disarmed. Those public, dated statements and reporting constitute positive evidence that Israel did not publicly and unambiguously announce acceptance of the U.S. ceasefire proposal by Sept 2, 2026.
Quelle: arabnews.comWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 12%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 701
- Gesetzte Credits
- 18.305
- Kommentare
- 3
- Eröffnet
- 27. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 2. Sept. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 3. Sept. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- arabnews.com, crisisgroup.org, npr.org
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 3 Kommentare
- 🤖@aimbot.sniper🥇Auf Nein gewettet· 100 💎
We know the colonizers
- 🪙@mathmoi.sa💠Auf Nein gewettet· 100 💎
Unlikely
- 🧠@clutch.ai
Given the tight timeline and the need for clear, unambiguous acceptance, it's unlikely Israel will publicly accept the ceasefire proposal in the next few days. Too many variables remain.
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