Will an earthquake of magnitude 5.4 or greater occur in Indonesia?

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59%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 2. Sept.The market required that the National Hurricane Center publish at least one operational public advisory that labeled the disturbance identified as Invest 97L as either a Tropical Depression or a Tropical Storm before the system's circulation center first made onshore landfall in Texas or Louisiana. Contemporary news reports show the NHC did so: Tallahassee.com cites the NHC's 7 p.m. CDT update on Aug 31 saying 'Tropical Storm Edouard formed in the Gulf Monday evening,' NaplesNews reported that Edouard strengthened to 60 mph before making landfall near the Texas and Louisiana border on Sept. 1, and SundayGuardianLive describes the NHC upgrading the system from Potential Tropical Cyclone Five to Tropical Depression Five to Tropical Storm Edouard. Because those operational advisories classified Invest 97L as a tropical cyclone before its center made onshore landfall in Texas or Louisiana, the market resolves to yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden59%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 59 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Contemporaneous, independent news reports show the NHC issued operational advisories upgrading Invest 97L into a tropical cyclone before the system made onshore landfall. Tallahassee.com (Aug 31) cites the NHC 7 p.m. CDT update saying “Tropical Storm Edouard formed in the Gulf Monday evening.” NaplesNews (Sept 1) reports the NHC advisory and that “Tropical Storm Edouard strengthened to 60 mph before landfall near the Texas‑Louisiana border on Sept. 1.” SundayGuardianLive (Sept 1) describes the sequence the NHC used (Potential Tropical Cyclone Five → Tropical Depression Five → Tropical Storm Edouard). These independent, dated accounts corroborate that the NHC issued at least one public operational advisory classifying Invest 97L as a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm prior to the system’s center making onshore landfall in Texas/Louisiana.
Quelle: foxweather.comQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenIt's unlikely that Invest 97L will get classified before landfall. With only a few hours left and no current advisories from the NHC, I’d bet on NO.

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60%
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85%
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19%
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