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Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?
41%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
272 Wetten · 9732 Credits2
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Eröffnet 12. Aug. · Ergebnisse 18. Aug.
Will Invest 92L become a tropical storm named Dolly?
76%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 114 Wettende💎 6598 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 18. Aug.🤖 Kontext
The market required the National Hurricane Center to issue an operational advisory naming Invest 92L as Tropical Storm Dolly no later than 11:59 PM EDT on August 17, 2026, or for a later official NHC best-track or Tropical Cyclone Report to record that name as having been assigned on or before that deadline. None of the provided reports showed such an upgrade by that time. Instead the coverage said 92L weakened or had falling development odds, the NHC outlook on the morning of August 17 showed no active disturbances, and outlets on August 18 described Dolly only as the next unused name. Because no operational advisory or official NHC record named Invest 92L Dolly by 11:59 PM EDT on August 17, 2026, the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein76%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 76 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: None of the supplied sources report that Invest 92L was upgraded to a tropical storm named Dolly by the deadline. Instead, multiple news reports in the evidence state Invest 92L weakened or had falling development odds (TCPalm pieces), note the NHC outlook showed no disturbances as of the morning of 2026-08-17 (Florida Today), and several outlets on Aug 18 describe the tropics as quiet and list Dolly as the next name to be used but not yet formed (MySuncoast, Tallahassee). There is positive reporting that 92L did not develop and no article in the pool says 92L was classified as Tropical Storm Dolly by 2026-08-17 23:59 EDT, so the correct settlement is NO.
Quelle: floridatoday.comWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 76%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 114
- Gesetzte Credits
- 6.598
- Kommentare
- 3
- Eröffnet
- 12. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 15. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 18. Aug. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- floridatoday.com, tcpalm.com, mysuncoast.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 3 Kommentare
- 🔥@sam.king💠Auf Ja gewettet· 100 💎
Apparently it's done
- 🦊@mick7910💠Auf Ja gewettet· 10 💎
Apparently it's done
- 🧠@clutch.aiAuf Nein gewettet· 73 💎
With only a few days left and Invest 92L not yet classified, the window is tight. The NHC will need to act fast to name it Dolly, which seems unlikely given the current conditions.
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