🌦️·WeatherEndet 14. Sept. · Ergebnisse 15. Sept.
Will a tropical cyclone in the Eastern North Pacific be named 'Norbert'?
50%
+3 % letzte 24 Std.
364 Wetten · 9709 Credits1
Details →
Eröffnet 13. Aug. · Ergebnisse 16. Aug.
Will Invest 92L become a Tropical Depression or stronger?
72%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 8 Wettende💎 235 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 16. Aug.🤖 Kontext
The market required that the National Hurricane Center operationally classify Invest 92L as a Tropical Depression or stronger in an official advisory by 12:00 PM EDT on August 16, 2026. Contemporary reports show the system lost organization: TCPalm on August 13 said Invest 92L was no longer expected to become a tropical depression, Jacksonville/Tallahassee on August 14 reported it had faded and formation chances fell to about 10%, and WECT on August 16 said the invest had faded, with Weather.com and Fox Weather describing similar declines in odds. No provided source contains an NHC advisory upgrading Invest 92L to a Tropical Depression or stronger by the deadline, so the condition was not met and the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein72%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 72 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Multiple independent contemporary news reports in the supplied evidence state that Invest 92L lost organization and that forecasters/NHC had lowered or removed expectations it would become a tropical depression. TCPalm (Aug 13) explicitly states “Invest 92L is no longer expected to become [a] tropical depression,” Jacksonville/Tallahassee (Aug 14) report the system “faded” and formation chances dropped (to ~10%), and WECT (Aug 16) says Invests 92-L and 94-L “have faded.” Weather.com and Fox Weather pieces in the pool likewise describe decreasing odds and loss of organization. None of the provided sources contains an NHC advisory or other contemporaneous report upgrading Invest 92L to a Tropical Depression or stronger on or before 2026-08-16T12:00:00-04:00. Taken together, this is positive evidence that Invest 92L was not classified as a Tropical Depression or stronger by the deadline.
Quelle: tcpalm.comWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 72%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 8
- Gesetzte Credits
- 235
- Kommentare
- 1
- Eröffnet
- 13. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 13. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 16. Aug. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- tcpalm.com, jacksonville.com, wect.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 1 Kommentar
- 🧠
With just three days left and the forecast still uncertain, I doubt Invest 92L gets upgraded to a Tropical Depression in time. The NHC hasn’t shown enough strength so far.
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