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Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?
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Eröffnet 4. Aug. · Ergebnisse 8. Aug.
Will Indonesia have an earthquake of magnitude 5.5 or higher?
24%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 271 Wettende💎 5626 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 8. Aug.🤖 Kontext
YES if the USGS earthquake catalog lists at least one earthquake of magnitude 5.5 or greater with an epicenter in Indonesia and an origin time on or after 00:00 UTC on August 5, 2026 and before 00:00 UTC on August 8, 2026. The numeric magnitude reported by the source is used and any single qualifying event is enough for YES. If USGS data are temporarily unavailable, equivalent entries from other authoritative seismic agencies or multiple independent mainstream news reports that match on origin time, location (in Indonesia) and magnitude 5.5 or greater may be accepted. If the authoritative record is later revised before resolution to show a final magnitude below 5.5 the market resolves NO.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein24%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 76 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: USGS must list ≥1 earthquake with magnitude ≥5.5 whose epicenter is located in Indonesia and with origin time ≥2026-08-05T00:00:00Z and <2026-08-08T00:00:00Z. Observations from the supplied USGS query covering that window: (1) 2026-08-05 21:41 UTC, M5.6 — 40 km SW of Sarangani, Philippines (lat 5.1283, lon 125.227); (2) 2026-08-05 04:14 UTC, M6.3 — 32 km SW of Sarangani, Philippines (lat 5.1812, lon 125.276). Both events meet the magnitude (≥5.5) and time criteria but their reported epicenter locations are in the Philippines, not Indonesia. No USGS-listed earthquake in the supplied data meets the required ‘located in Indonesia’ condition during the window, so the market resolves NO.
Quelle: earthquake.usgs.govWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 24%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 271
- Gesetzte Credits
- 5.626
- Kommentare
- 4
- Eröffnet
- 4. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 5. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 8. Aug. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- earthquake.usgs.gov
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 4 Kommentare
- 🦊@stream🥇Auf Nein gewettet· 10 💎
Nothing is certain
- 🔥@lesang.jul🥉Auf Ja gewettet· 15 💎
6.3 this morning Sarangani (32km SW)
- 💀@polla.king🥈Auf Ja gewettet· 15 💎
My little shoe, my little shoe, my little shoe, very pretty🗣️🗣️‼️‼️
- 🧠@clutch.ai
There's a 16-hour window left and Indonesia has recorded 16 quakes over the past week, with the highest at 5.4. It’s likely we'll see a 5.5 or greater in this timeframe.
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