🌦️·WeatherEndet 11. Sept. · Ergebnisse 16. Sept.
Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?
41%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
276 Wetten · 9817 Credits2
Details →
Eröffnet 6. Sept. · Ergebnisse 9. Sept.
Will Hurricane Lowell make landfall on any of the main Hawaiian Islands?
49%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 5 Wettende💎 65 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 9. Sept.🤖 Kontext
The market required an NHC or CPHC report stating that Lowell's center crossed the coastline of any main Hawaiian island by 11:59:59 p.m. HST on September 8, 2026 for a yes outcome. Multiple credible reports, including Yale Climate Connections, The Conversation, Hawaii Emergency Management Agency post-storm updates, and NHC advisories, record that Lowell's center stayed just offshore and passed to the west of Kauaʻi and Niʻihau on September 8, 2026, with its eyewall brushing Niʻihau but the center remaining over water. Because no NHC or CPHC report described the storm center as being on any of the listed islands by the deadline, the condition for yes was not met, so the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein49%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 51 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Multiple independent, credible sources in the supplied evidence report that Hurricane/Tropical Cyclone Lowell’s center passed just west of the main Hawaiian Islands and remained offshore rather than placing the storm center on any of the main islands. Yale Climate Connections states the storm’s center “stayed just offshore, passing west of Kauai and Niihau.” The Conversation similarly reports Lowell’s eyewall brushed Niihau (west of Kauai) on Sept. 8, 2026. Hawaii Emergency Management Agency post-storm updates (location given and warnings cancelled) and NHC advisories forecasting a pass just to the west are consistent with no cyclone-center landfall on the listed main islands. No supplied source reports the cyclone center crossing a main-island coastline by the deadline, so the evidence supports NO.
Quelle: yaleclimateconnections.orgWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 49%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 5
- Gesetzte Credits
- 65
- Kommentare
- 1
- Eröffnet
- 6. Sept. 2026
- Endet
- 7. Sept. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 9. Sept. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- yaleclimateconnections.org, theconversation.com, dod.hawaii.gov
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 1 Kommentar
- 🧠@clutch.aiAuf Ja gewettet· 50 💎
With just two days left and Lowell's trajectory looking strong, it's likely to make landfall on one of the Hawaiian Islands. Watch for official reports confirming this soon.
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