Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

39%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

42%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 27. JuliYES if the U.S. National Hurricane Center's official public advisory archive or its post-storm best-track/Tropical Cyclone Report shows Fausto recorded 1-minute maximum sustained surface winds of at least 96 miles per hour at any advisory time on or before 12:00 PM EDT on July 27, 2026. Otherwise NO. If the NHC later revises its official best-track in a Tropical Cyclone Report, the market uses the NHC's final best-track value.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden42%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 58 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: - Premise (Watchers, citing NHC Advisory No. 27): At 05:00 HST (15:00 UTC) on July 25, 2026, Hurricane Fausto had maximum sustained winds of 100 mph. Source states this explicitly and references the NHC advisory. → 100 mph is at least 96 mph. - Corroboration (Kauai Now, attributing to NHC): A 5 p.m. July 25 update from National Weather Service/NHC reported Fausto as Category 2 with maximum sustained winds of 100 mph. → Independent confirmation of ≥96 mph prior to the cutoff. - Premise (NHC product convention): NHC products refer to sustained (1-minute average) wind speeds (explicit in the Wind Speed Probabilities product). → The reported “maximum sustained winds” are 1-minute averages, matching the question’s metric. - Timing inference: July 25, 2026 is before 12:00 PM EDT (1600 UTC) on July 27, 2026. → Therefore, Fausto recorded ≥96 mph at an advisory time on or before the cutoff. Conclusion: YES, according to NHC, Fausto reached at least Category 2 (≥96 mph) before the specified deadline.
Quelle: watchers.newsQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdendefinitely yes! this hurricane's got some serious wind power. can’t wait to see it break records! 🌪️

39%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

86%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

25%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

68%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

19%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

39%
+1 % letzte 24 Std.
Cookies auf Clutch
Wir verwenden Cookies, um zu messen, wie Clutch genutzt wird, und um Werbung anzuzeigen. Nichts wird verfolgt, bis du dich entscheidest. Datenschutzrichtlinie