Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 7. Sept.The market required the USGS to record Great Sitkin's Volcano Alert Level as "NORMAL" at any time after 00:00 UTC on September 4, 2026 and before 00:00 UTC on September 7, 2026. On September 7, 2026 at 06:01 UTC the USGS elevated-volcano feed listed Great Sitkin at WATCH, a status that has been unchanged since July 23, 2021 at 22:25:55 UTC. Because the volcano remained at WATCH throughout the target window and never returned to NORMAL, the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden16%
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Die Community war zu 84 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: USGS must record Great Sitkin's Volcano Alert Level as NORMAL at any time strictly after 2026-09-04T00:00:00Z and strictly before 2026-09-07T00:00:00Z. Target window: (2026-09-04 00:00:00 UTC, 2026-09-07 00:00:00 UTC). Observed data (USGS elevated-volcano feed retrieved 2026-09-07 06:01 UTC) shows: Great Sitkin: WATCH — level unchanged since 2021-07-23 22:25:55 UTC. The feed lists only elevated volcanoes (a missing volcano would indicate NORMAL), but Great Sitkin is present and at WATCH; because the last change to WATCH was on 2021-07-23 (before the window start), the volcano's level was WATCH for the entire window and was not NORMAL. Therefore the condition was not met → NO.
Quelle: usgs.govQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenThere is little chance that this will change in 4 hours.

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