Eröffnet 1. Aug. · Ergebnisse 5. Aug.

Will Great Sitkin drop back to "NORMAL" (back to normal)?

17%

Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

📊 43 Wettende💎 1094 im Einsatz

AufgelöstNein

Aufgelöst: Nein

Ergebnisse 5. Aug.

🤖 Kontext

YES if the USGS Volcano Hazards Program publishes, via the Volcano Notification Service or the volcano-updates page, at any time strictly after 00:00 UTC on August 2, 2026 and strictly before 00:00 UTC on August 5, 2026 that the official Volcano Alert Level for Great Sitkin is set to "NORMAL" (back to normal). Otherwise NO. If USGS temporarily lists the volcano as "UNASSIGNED" or removes it during this window, resolution will use the first subsequent USGS-published named alert level, and independent reputable news reports that explicitly quote the USGS are acceptable supporting evidence.

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Warum: Extracted condition: USGS must publish that Great Sitkin's official Volcano Alert Level is set to "NORMAL" at any time t with 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z < t < 2026-08-05T00:00:00Z. Observed data (USGS feed retrieved 2026-08-05 06:00 UTC): Great Sitkin is listed as WATCH — "level unchanged since 2021-07-23 22:25:55 UTC" (latest notice timestamp 2026-08-04T17:28:10Z). The feed notes it only lists elevated volcanoes (absence would indicate NORMAL). Because the 'level unchanged since' timestamp is before the window start, the alert level was constant through the entire window and was WATCH, not NORMAL. Therefore USGS did not publish an assignment to NORMAL strictly inside the window, so the market resolves NO.

Quelle: volcanoes.usgs.gov