Will a tropical cyclone in the Eastern North Pacific be named 'Norbert'?

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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 27. JuliYES if Great Sitkin's official Volcano Alert Level was set to "WARNING" at any time after 00:00 UTC on July 24, 2026 and before 00:00 UTC on July 27, 2026 according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Volcano Updates page. Otherwise NO. If the USGS official record for Great Sitkin is unavailable at resolution time, the market will be resolved using the first USGS alert-level entry for Great Sitkin published after 00:00 UTC on July 27, 2026.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden16%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 84 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: Did USGS set Great Sitkin's Volcano Alert Level to "WARNING" at any time after 2026-07-24T00:00:00Z and before 2026-07-27T00:00:00Z? Target window: (2026-07-24 00:00:00 UTC, 2026-07-27 00:00:00 UTC). Observed data (USGS feed retrieved 2026-07-27 06:00 UTC): "Great Sitkin: WATCH — level unchanged since 2021-07-23 22:25:55 UTC." The last-change timestamp (2021-07-23 22:25:55 UTC) is before the window start, so the alert level was WATCH throughout the entire window and was not WARNING at any time in the window. Therefore outcome = NO.
Quelle: usgs.govQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenoh, it's definitely gonna blow! volcanoes don't do subtle, and great sitkin seems like it's itching for a warning! 💥

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