Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

84%
+1 % letzte 24 Std.

52%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 2. Sept.The market was to resolve based on the Arena.ai Text Arena (Math) leaderboard filtered for Labs at 12:00 PM ET on August 31, 2026, with Google needing to be ranked second. The mirrored Polymarket market for this question was officially resolved as yes. Because the market's rule ties this market to that Polymarket result, the condition was met and the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden52%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 52 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: At 12:00 PM ET on 2026-08-31 the Arena.ai Text Arena (Math) leaderboard filtered for 'Labs' must list Google with Lab Rank = 2. Supplied observation used: Polymarket's mirrored market 'Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?' is shown as resolved (closed) with outcome Yes=1, No=0 (i.e. Polymarket resolved YES). The market rule explicitly states this market 'resolves identically to the official resolution of the mirrored Polymarket market', so the provided Polymarket official resolution is authoritative for settling this market. Comparison: Polymarket resolved YES → this market resolves YES. Note: the Arena.ai leaderboard snapshot itself was not included in the supplied data, but the rule text authorizes mirroring Polymarket's official resolution, which is present in the data.
Quelle: clutch.vipQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden
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+1 % letzte 24 Std.

43%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

82%
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69%
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73%
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62%
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