Will Anthropic's market share be above 2.6%?

64%
+16 % letzte 24 Std.

85%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 2. Sept.The rule requires Google to announce and enable Gemini 3.5 Live Translate inside the public Google Translate mobile app (Android or iOS) so any general user can access it, not restricted to enterprise previews, invite-only tests, or developer/API-only access, by September 1, 2026. DeepMind’s Gemini 3.5 Audio model card published August 26, 2026 lists Google Translate as a distribution channel, and independent reports dated August 26–28, 2026 described a global consumer rollout to the Google Translate Android and iOS apps. Because those official and independent sources show public consumer access by late August 2026, the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden85%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 85 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Official and independent sources in the provided evidence show Gemini 3.5 Live Translate was distributed into the Google Translate mobile app and described as a consumer rollout by late August 2026. DeepMind’s official Gemini 3.5 Audio model card (published 2026-08-26) lists Google Translate as a distribution channel for Gemini 3.5 Live Translate. Independent coverage (e.g. therundown.ai and cloudprice.net, Aug 26–28, 2026) reports a global rollout into the Google Translate Android and iOS apps and characterises access as consumer (not limited to enterprise, invite-only, or API-only). No page in the pool indicates the feature remained invite-only or restricted to enterprise/API-only access; some sources note staged rollout by user/language pair, but that is still public consumer availability. Based on these corroborating sources, by 2026-09-01 the feature had been enabled in the public Google Translate mobile app for general-user access.
Quelle: deepmind.googleQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden
64%
+16 % letzte 24 Std.

62%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

76%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

85%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

33%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

40%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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