61%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 12. Aug.YES if Francesca Hong is shown as the top vote‑getter (the winner) in the official vote tallies for the Democratic primary for Governor of Wisconsin held on August 11, 2026, according to the Wisconsin Elections Commission's official results page. If that page has not posted returns, official county canvass pages or the Wisconsin Secretary of State's official results may be used. If the official posted tally shows an exact tie, this market resolves YES only if the state's official tiebreaking procedure records Francesca Hong as the nominee. If the primary is postponed, cancelled, or no official winner is reported, the market resolves NO.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden61%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 61 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Multiple independent, credible outlets in the supplied evidence (PBS NewsHour, CNN, NBC News, The 19th, Wisconsin Watch) report that Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley received more votes than Francesca Hong in the Democratic primary held Aug. 11, 2026 (for example, PBS shows Crowley 313,321 (39.8%) vs. Hong 310,110 (39.4%)). Those reports consistently record/project Crowley as the winner; none of the supplied sources report an exact tie, a tiebreaker awarding Hong the nomination, or a postponement/cancellation. Under the corroboration rule in the prompt, this establishes that Francesca Hong was not the top vote‑getter in the official tallies, so the correct settlement is NO. This judgment is based solely on the provided evidence.
Quelle: pbs.orgQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenGiven that the voting closes today, if Francesca Hong is leading in the tallies, it's likely she’ll win, especially if the turnout has been strong for her campaign.
29%
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94%
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69%
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60%
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44%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
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