Eröffnet 30. Juli · Ergebnisse 31. Juli

Will exactly 21 mainland French departments be in 'vigilance orange' for the heatwave on July 31, 2026?

35%

Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

📊 224 Wettende💎 7368 im Einsatz

AufgelöstJa

Aufgelöst: Ja

Ergebnisse 31. Juli

🤖 Kontext

YES if, according to Météo‑France, the official national vigilance map published for July 31, 2026 shows exactly 21 metropolitan French departments in 'vigilance orange' for the phenomenon labeled 'canicule'. Departments shown as 'rouge' are not counted as 'orange' and overseas departments and territories are excluded. The map published up to and including 6:00 AM on July 31, 2026 will be used for resolution.

Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden

Wie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde

35%

Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community

Die Community war zu 65 % sicher und lag daneben.

Warum: Multiple reputable sources reporting Météo‑France’s official vigilances state that 21 departments are in orange for 'canicule' covering the period that includes 2026-07-31. Franceinfo (whose canicule page is generated from Météo‑France data) lists 21 departments in vigilance orange for the period 30 July 2026–01 August 2026 (therefore covering 31 July). CentrePresse Aveyron explicitly reports “Météo France maintient 21 départements en vigilance orange canicule ce vendredi 31 juillet 2026” and enumerates the 21 departments; Le Monde reports the same figure. None of the supplied evidence shows any of those departments as 'rouge' or includes overseas territories among the 21. Based on these supplied Météo‑France-derived reports, the national vigilance map for 2026-07-31 shows exactly 21 metropolitan departments in vigilance orange for canicule.

Quelle: franceinfo.fr