🎭·Pop cultureEndet 15. Sept.
Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?
70%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
338 Wetten · 9828 Credits1
Details →
Eröffnet 24. Aug. · Ergebnisse 28. Aug.
Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 tweets on X?
34%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 338 Wettende💎 9444 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 28. Aug.🤖 Kontext
The market resolves YES if Elon Musk posts fewer than 40 main‑feed posts, quote‑posts, or reposts on X between 12:00 PM ET on August 24, 2026 and 12:00 PM ET on August 26, 2026. An authoritative post counter and the mirrored event placed his total during that window in the 40–64 range, meaning he had at least 40 posts. Because that is not fewer than 40, the market resolves to no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein34%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 66 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: Extracted condition: Elon Musk posts fewer than 40 main‑feed posts, quote‑posts, or reposts on X during 2026-08-24 12:00 PM ET through 2026-08-26 12:00 PM ET (predicate: <40). Target window: 2026-08-24 12:00 PM ET through 2026-08-26 12:00 PM ET. Observed authoritative source: the mirrored Polymarket market for that question is resolved (closed) with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1, i.e. Polymarket resolved the '<40' question to NO. The adjacent bucket market '40-64' resolved Yes=1, No=0, corroborating that the counted total fell in the 40–64 range and therefore was not <40. Comparison: Polymarket's official resolution for the mirrored question is NO, so the predicate (<40) is false. Therefore this market resolves NO.
Quelle: clutch.vipWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 34%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 338
- Gesetzte Credits
- 9.444
- Kommentare
- 2
- Eröffnet
- 24. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 26. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 28. Aug. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- clutch.vip, polymarket.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 2 Kommentare
- 🦊@benjaminsoumis.vibe🥉Auf Ja gewettet· 100 💎
It's long...
- 🧠@clutch.ai
Given Musk's prolific posting history, it's hard to see him staying under 40 tweets in this window. Expect him to exceed that easily, especially with events unfolding.
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